Muni sales hit the screens; Conference participants see 2019 volume of $325B-$375B

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The municipal bond market is seeing some much anticipated supply hit the screens on Tuesday, led by competitive offerings from issuers in Virginia, Tennessee and Florida.

In New York, The Bond Buyer is holding its National Outlook Conference.

In a live market survey of participants at the conference, 41% see municipal volume for 2019 hitting $375 billion while 36% say the market will see $325 billion. Only 8% saw issuance over $400 billion while 14% believe volume will be under $275 billion.

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In Washington on Tuesday, the Federal Open Market Committee is starting the first day of its two-day monetary policy meeting. While it is not expected to alter interest rates, observers will pay close attention to any discussion of balance-sheet reduction for hints of flexibility.

Primary market
Fairfax County, Va., sold $270.3 million of public improvement bonds and refunding bonds in two offerings.

Citigroup won the $225.395 million of Series 2019A bonds with a true interest cost of 2.8967%.

Raymond James won the $44.88 million of Series 2019 taxable refunding bonds with a TIC of 3.5239%.

Proceeds will be used to finance various public and school improvements and to refund some outstanding debt.

The financial advisor is PFM Financial Advisors; the bond counsel is Norton Rose.

The deal is rated triple-A by Moody’s Investors Service, S&P Global Ratings and Fitch Ratings.

Since 2009, the county has sold about $4 billion of debt with the most issuance occurring in 2009 when it sold $811 million of bonds. The county didn’t come to market in 2010.

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Shelby County, Tenn., sold $243.325 million of GO public improvement and school bonds in two offerings.

Morgan Stanley won the $170.865 million of Series 2019A GOs with a TIC of 3.0701%.

Wells Fargo Securities won the $72.46 million of Series 2019B GO refunding bonds with a TIC of 2.65%.

Proceeds will be used to finance various capital and school improvements and to redeem some outstanding debt.

Financial advisors are ComCap Partners and PFM Financial Advisors; the bond counsel is Butler Snow. The deal is rated AA-plus by S&P and Fitch.

The Broward County School District, Fla., sold $175.845 million of Series 2019 GO school bonds.

Jefferies won the bonds with a TIC of 3.8008%.

Proceeds will be used for the acquisition, construction, renovation and equipping of educational facilities within the School District, including safety enhancements and instructional technology upgrades.

The financial advisor is PFM Financial Advisors; the bond counsel are Greenberg Traurig and Edwards & Feanny. The deal is rated AA-minus by Fitch.

Bond Buyer 30-day visible supply at $7.56B
The Bond Buyer's 30-day visible supply calendar increased $1.19 billion to $7.56 billion for Tuesday. The total is comprised of $2.74 billion of competitive sales and $4.83 billion of negotiated deals.

Secondary market
Municipal bonds were stronger Tuesday, according to a midday read of the MBIS benchmark scale. Benchmark muni yields fell as much as one basis point in the one- to 28-year maturities, rose less than a basis point in the 30-year maturity and remained unchanged in the 29-year maturity.

High-grade munis were stronger, with muni yields falling as much as two basis point in the one- to 30-year maturities.

Municipals were steady on Municipal Market Data’s AAA benchmark scale, which showed the yield on both the 10-year muni general obligation and the yield on 30-year muni maturity remaining unchanged.

Treasury bonds were weaker as stock prices traded mixed.

On Monday, the 10-year muni-to-Treasury ratio was calculated at 81.3% while the 30-year muni-to-Treasury ratio stood at 101.3%, according to MMD. The muni-to-Treasury ratio compares the yield of tax-exempt municipal bonds with the yield of taxable U.S. Treasury with comparable maturities. If the muni/Treasury ratio is above 100%, munis are yielding more than Treasury; if it is below 100%, munis are yielding less.

Previous session's activity
The Municipal Securities Rulemaking Board reported 36,978 trades on Monday on volume of $9.91 billion.

California, New York and Texas were the municipalities with the most trades, with the Golden State taking 16.326% of the market, the Empire State taking 11.559% and the Lone Star State taking 10.697%.

Treasury auctions year-bills, FRNs
The Treasury Department Tuesday auctioned $26 billion of 364-day bills at a 2.515% high yield, a price of 97.457056.

The coupon equivalent was 2.600%. The bid-to-cover ratio was 3.16. Tenders at the high rate were allotted 83.61%. The median yield was 2.500%. The low yield was 2.450%.

Treasury also auctioned $20 billion of two-year floating rate notes with a high discount margin of 0.115%, at a 0.115% spread, a price of par. The bid-to-cover ratio was 2.89.
Tenders at the high margin were allotted 52.48%. The median discount margin was 0.105%. The low discount margin was 0.060%. The index determination date is Jan. 22 and the index determination rate is 2.390%.

Treasury to sell $50B 4-week bills
The Treasury Department said it will sell $50 billion of four-week discount bills Thursday. There are currently $30.009 billion of four-week bills outstanding.

Treasury also said it will sell $35 billion of eight-week bills Thursday.

Gary E. Siegel contributed to this report.

Data appearing in this article from Municipal Bond Information Services, including the MBIS municipal bond index, is available on The Bond Buyer Data Workstation. Click here for a brief tour of the Workstation, or contact Ziad Saba at 212-803-6079 for more information.

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