The California revenue report indicating the state is $8.7 billion above budget projections is not quite as rosy as it sounds.
Revenues did come in better than expected in the budget approved a few months ago, but they are down from 2019, said David Hitchcock, an S&P Global Ratings analyst.
September
"The October numbers are strong," Hitchcock said. "It's hard to say what the full year will look like. The numbers are somewhat distorted, because of the July income tax filing deadline."
The rating agencies
The state is rated AA, Aa2 and AA-minus by Fitch Ratings, Moody’s Investors Service and S&P Global Ratings, respectively after
Like many states, California also didn’t cut as deeply as it could have in the hope that the federal government would pass a second bill providing additional aid to states and local governments.
The state also held on to some of the money that would have gone to K-14 schools while it waited to see what would happen at the federal level, Hitchcock said.