Jobless claims rebound, still below year-ago level

WASHINGTON — Initial claims U.S. state unemployment benefits rose by 21,000 to 231,000 in the March 3 week, a larger rebound than the 10,000 gain expected after hitting a decades-low level in the previous week, data released by the Labor Department Thursday showed.

initial claims

Seasonal adjustment factors had expected an increase of 5.1%, or 10,080, in unadjusted claims in the week. Instead, unadjusted claims rose by 30,519 to 226,450, pay back for the larger-than-expected drop in the previous week. Even with the large increase, the current week's level is well below the 243,959 level in the comparable week a year ago.

The four-week moving average for initial claims, a better measure of the underlying trend of the data, rise by 2,000 to 222,500 in the March 3 week.

If the number of headline claims does not change next week and there are no revisions to data from the past four weeks, the four-week average will tick up by 500 as the 229,000 level in the February 10 week rolls out of the calculation. Even with these modest gains, the underlying level of claims remains extremely low.

The level of continuing claims fell by 64,000 to 1.870 million in the February 24 week, the lowest level since November. The four-week moving average dipped by 14,250 to 1.907 million, also a low since November.

Unadjusted continuing claims fell by 31,735 to 2.227 million, well below the 2.448 million level in the comparable week a year ago.

The seasonally adjusted insured unemployment rate returned to 1.3% in the February 24 week after rising to 1.4% in the previous week. The rate was 1.5% in the same week a year earlier.

The unemployment rate among the insured labor force is well below that reported monthly by the Labor Department because claims are approved for the most part only for job losers, not the job leavers and labor force reentrants included in the monthly report.

Market News International is a real-time global news service for fixed-income and foreign exchange market professionals. See www.marketnews.com.
Economic indicators Jobless claims
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